managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. The tour plan, to go into effect in 2024, includes changing certain larger-purse events to have smaller fields and no cuts. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, expert picks, odds, golf best bets, field rankings at Bay Hill. ), AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [UPDATED], AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am DraftKings golf picks 2023: Best PGA DFS lineup. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. This former FedEx Cup champ is a great long-shot bet at Bay Hill - Golf.com The golfers who lead the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee so far in 2023, along with the drivers and shafts they are using. Sedgefield Country Club hosts the Wyndham Championship this week, where FedEx Cup playoff positions are on the line. LIV Golf star Peter Uihlein has revealed that he is 'much happier' playing on the breakaway circuit, after things didn't 'work out' over on the PGA Tour.. Uihlein has had a successful start to life as a LIV golfer, having secured three top-five finishes - including two runner-up spots - in 2022, whilst also finishing third in the season-long individual ranking. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). WMPO: Sungjae Im. Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. Nicklaus: 2024 PGA Tour Schedule Will Help the Honda Classic's Field Expert Picks: Genesis Scottish Open - PGATour Despite the trouble guarding so many of the greens at PGA Nationals Champion course, Kirk managed to hit 54 of 72 greens to rank T-7 for the week, while posting a strokes gained/approach mark of 7.643 strokes gained on the field to rank second. Only Scottie Scheffler has gained more strokes per round than Cantlay over the past 50 rounds. After this weeks Wyndham Championship, you must be in the top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings to qualify. World No. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Were burning another big name after whiffing of Fitzpatrick last week. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. He hasnt won on American soil since the 2015 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. They will keep updating their pre-round odds based on the current standings and results on the leaderboards. Previously, rough surrounded most greensso you faced a straightforward pitch around the greens. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. Southern Hills hosts the PGA Championship, and its the first time weve seen this venue since the 2007 PGA, won by Tiger Woods. This is his third trip to the Wyndham, having finished second in his first three starts both of which were decided by playoffs. Bay Hill leader Kurt Kitayama has multiple flattering nicknames Honda: Chris Kirk. BATON ROUGE - LSU won its fourth tournament of the 2022-23 women's golf wraparound season on Wednesday, winning against the toughest field of the year at the Darius Rucker Intercollegiate at the Long Cove Club at Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Fading public in Pelicans-Blazers and PGA special: Best Picks for It . As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. The Official Ratings Are In: PGA Tour Trounces LIV Golf in First Head Clark can check off all three of those boxes! See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. He has four top-25 finishes in his past five starts at the PGA Championship. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. It hosted a PGA Championship in 1995, a U.S. Senior Open in 1998 and a U.S. Golf Digest - Does Kurt Kitayama even lift, bro? Both are ideal fits for this type of ball-striking course and Rahm has been a Top 10 machine here as the hometown guy. PGA Tour - Golf News, Scores, Stats, Standings, and Rumors That makes four top 15s worldwide in his past five startsall with gains off-the-tee and on approach. Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. The 2022 FedEx Cup Playoffs continue this week with the BMW Championship at Wilmington Country Club in Delaware . follow. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) No. 6 LSU women's golf wins Darius Rucker Intercollegiate 4. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. So lets dive in. All rights reserved. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. PGA Championship 2022 DFS picks: A surprising fade and bold - The Loop With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. However, over his last 20 rounds, hes losing 0.28 strokes per round, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. The 28-year-old has his eye on No. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Over the past 36 rounds, Rahm is gaining a staggering 3.01 strokes per roundthe most in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. betting. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, High Upside: Max Homa ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Players Picks The 10 Best Pga Tour Courses Courses Golf Digest Its fun to watch golf, but its even more fun to win big when you bet on the events. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. Michael Murphy is a hero to me in every sense of the word. With the course stretched to over 7,500 yards, the field will be hitting plenty of long irons into these greens. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. The 2021 Valspar Championship field includes past winners of this event who are fetching long odds this week, such as Kevin Streelman (66-1), Gary Woodland (70-1), Charl Schwartzel (100-1) and. Rahm has two top-10's in four tries and tied for 21st last year, when he rebounded from a second-round 73 and shot 65 on Sunday. For every tournament, bettors can place a slew of prop bets on everything. Wyndham Clark ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. His approach play since the U.S. Open has been pedestrian, but hes gained over seven strokes in his past seven roundsthe rate we would expect from Thomas. The 10-time PGA Tour winner remains one of the best short iron players in this field over a large sample size, which has led him to countless high-end finishes at not just Sedgefield, but at. Before placing a wager on a specific golfer or matchup, you can check out how theyre doing in previous rounds. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head golf matchup picks, PGA best bets. PGA Tour - Golf News, Scores, Stats, Standings, and Rumors - CBSSports.com T1 Adam Schenk -5 Thru 15 -5 T1 Cameron Young -5 Thru 10 -5 3 Aaron Rai -4 Thru 8 -4 T4 Thomas Detry -3 Thru 13 -3. He enters the competition ranked 27th in the FedEx Cup standings (seventh among players who have never won). It won't be all fun. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. World No. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Outside of the Zurich Classic, where Grace partnered with Garrick Higgo, he hasnt threatened a top 20 in 2022. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Amateur in 2017, but no U.S. Open since 1948. OPINION: It's Time to Break the Sound Barrier - golficity.com When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Arnold Palmer Invitational odds: Longshot, sleeper picks for Bay Hill For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. Most Likely To Disappoint: Brooks Koepka ($9,000 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, expert picks, odds, golf He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). The fairways and greens are difficult to hit, so there'll be more of an emphasis on short game this week. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. The best thing about betting on golf is that there are so many ways to get involved. In the past two weeks, Day has played greatjust one bad round prevented him from contending. Every golfer dreams of getting their handicap down, and weve got news for you. He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head Its always concerning when a golfer is so far from their DNA, and Hatton has also missed the cut in 13 of his 27 career major starts. Its often forgotten that design contribution extended all the way to Australia, where Arnold Palmer in his playing days won an Australian Open and Wills Masters title. Due to the big field sizes and the four-day format, many longshots win or come close to victory on the tour. During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. The top 10, where the golfer is just one or two strokes away from winning, can be a predictor of future success. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. During that stretch, hes also gaining 0.22 strokes per round around the green, the fifth-best rate of anyone $9,000 or more. Hideki Matsuyama ($8,200 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Reason to pick: We hate picking a guy with single-digit odds, but he . Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Both of those skill-sets should be critical at Southern Hills, plus add in the WD last week due to injuryand there are more questions than answers for Koepka. We have a Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Hes played six majors as a professional and has notched four top 10s. Tony Finau ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). You can decide if a hole-in-one will occur, how many strokes the winner will win, if a playoff will take place, and which golfer will shoot the lowest score in a certain round. RELATED: Breaking down Tiger Woods' record at Riviera Country Club, Riviera Country Club is one of the best courses on the schedule, demanding precision from tee through green. 48,000. He hasnt had much major success, but the PGA Championship has been his best, making the cut in eight of nine starts. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. PGA DFS Playbook Arnold Palmer Invitational: Top DraftKings & FanDuel But its the site of an annual PGA Tour event, which is even better exposure to the golf world. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Its terrifying to fade the two-time PGA champion, but with the plethora of great names in this price range, this feels like the most natural fade. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Featured Recent Fantasy DFS Betting Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach:7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets)One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0), Top 10 pick for WM Phoenix Open: Justin Thomas (+220). Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. As analyzed by our PGA expert picks, Shane Lowry has been one of the most reliable golfers in 2022. At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. Pick To Win: Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200 DraftKings | $10,800 FanDuel). Hes been elite off the tee, gaining 17.49 strokes over his past six measured starts. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. RELATED:Tony Finau reveals the LIV golfers he misses having on tour the most, Tyrrell Hatton ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,900 FanDuel). RELATED: Here are the odds of every player in the field at the 2022 PGA Championship, Safest Option: Justin Thomas ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,700 FanDuel). Sahith Theegala ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,600 FanDuel). PGA Tour . Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks Golf Digest One and Done Pick for WM Phoenix Open: Xander Schauffele. Hes not short on confidence, winning twice worldwide in the past 14 months. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. He has two top-17 finishes in his past three trips to this event and is coming off a T-10 in Phoenix last week. Zalatoris had a surprising missed cut last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but its not time to abandon him. The majority of other prop wagers are either categorized as player or tournament props. Spencer Aguiar, one of the most successful PGA bettors in the industry, now features 10+ weekly articles with his exclusive picks, rankings and models in the TeeOffSports VIP subscription. Jon Rahm ($11,100 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational.