The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. It's easy. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com All. FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Transcripts by Erin Wade. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in Happy holidays! The Gerrymandering Project: California | FiveThirtyEight Politics Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. MANAGER'S SALARY. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. June 2, 2016. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Our Data | FiveThirtyEight And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe Happy holidays! Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. Rev. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota.